Middleweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Israel Adesanya won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, March 7, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupIsrael Adesanya: StrikervsYoel Romero: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Israel Adesanya wins(62.5%)
Actual result: Israel Adesanya wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Israel Adesanya enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Yoel Romero is a KO finisher (78% of wins). Israel Adesanya has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Israel Adesanya (54.1%).
- Israel Adesanya has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Israel Adesanya
Red Corner
VS
Yoel Romero
Blue Corner
-260
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+240
(29%)
36
Age
49
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
6'4"
Height
6'0"
203.2 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Israel AdesanyaL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alex Pereira · Apr 23L
vs Sean Strickland · Sep 23L
SUBvs Dricus Du Plessis · Aug 24L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Feb 25L
KOvs Joe Pyfer · Mar 26Yoel RomeroL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Nov 16L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 17W
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Feb 18L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jun 18L
vs Paulo Costa · Aug 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Israel AdesanyaMetricYoel Romero
4.03
Strikes / min
3.44
3.22
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
55%
Strike defense
60%
0.05
TDs / 15 min
1.57
76%
Takedown defense
78%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.81evenly matched on net striking+0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Israel AdesanyaYoel Romero
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Israel Adesanya(10 fights)Yoel Romero(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+33.0-33.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Israel Adesanya
StanceSwitch
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights19
Yoel Romero
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13