Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Sam Hughes won · M-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 16, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupIstela Nunes: Pressure fightervsSam Hughes: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Istela Nunes wins(57.9%)
Actual result: Sam Hughes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Istela Nunes enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Sam Hughes has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Istela Nunes
Red Corner
VS
Sam Hughes
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+195
(34%)
33
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'5"
167.64 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Istela NunesL4 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Ariane Carnelossi · Oct 21L
KOvs Yazmin Jauregui · Dec 22L
KOvs Viktoriia Dudakova · Jul 23L
vs Loma Lookboonmee · Apr 25Sam Hughes
oldest →latest
L
vs Yazmin Jauregui · Feb 24W
vs Viktoriia Dudakova · Aug 24W
vs Stephanie Luciano · Mar 25W
SUBvs Shauna Bannon · Sep 25L
vs Piera Rodriguez · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Istela NunesMetricSam Hughes
4.28
Strikes / min
4.41
4.07
Strikes absorbed / min
4.69
59%
Strike defense
58%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.12
47%
Takedown defense
63%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.21evenly matched on net striking-0.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Istela NunesSam Hughes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Istela Nunes(5 fights)Sam Hughes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+27.4-27.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Istela Nunes
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights5
Sam Hughes
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights12