Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Frankie Saenz won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, February 22, 2015·Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupIuri Alcantara: Well-roundedvsFrankie Saenz: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Iuri Alcantara wins(57.8%)
Actual result: Frankie Saenz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Iuri Alcantara (53.5%).
- Iuri Alcantara has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Iuri Alcantara
Red Corner
VS
Frankie Saenz
Blue Corner
-925
(90%)
Vegas Odds
+725
(12%)
45
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'6"
180.34 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Iuri Alcantara
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Luke Sanders · Mar 17L
SUBvs Brian Kelleher · Jun 17L
vs Alejandro Perez · Dec 17W
KOvs Joe Soto · Feb 18L
KOvs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 18Frankie SaenzL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Augusto Mendes · Jan 17W
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Dec 17W
vs Henry Briones · May 18L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Mar 19L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Aug 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Iuri AlcantaraMetricFrankie Saenz
2.72
Strikes / min
3.94
2.79
Strikes absorbed / min
3.50
49%
Strike defense
52%
1.44
TDs / 15 min
1.74
60%
Takedown defense
61%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.07evenly matched on net striking+0.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Iuri AlcantaraFrankie Saenz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Iuri Alcantara(10 fights)Frankie Saenz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+43.3-43.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Iuri Alcantara
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights17
Frankie Saenz
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights10