Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Iuri Alcantara won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 3, 2018·Belem, Para, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupIuri Alcantara: Well-roundedvsJoe Soto: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Iuri Alcantara wins(61.3%)
Actual result: Iuri Alcantara wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Iuri Alcantara enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joe Soto has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Iuri Alcantara (53.5%).
- Iuri Alcantara has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Iuri Alcantara
Red Corner
VS
Joe Soto
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
45
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'6"
180.34 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Iuri AlcantaraL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Brad Pickett · Oct 16W
SUBvs Luke Sanders · Mar 17L
SUBvs Brian Kelleher · Jun 17L
vs Alejandro Perez · Dec 17L
KOvs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 18Joe Soto
oldest →latest
L
vs Michinori Tanaka · Jan 16W
SUBvs Chris Beal · Jun 16W
SUBvs Marco Beltran · Nov 16W
vs Rani Yahya · Mar 17L
SUBvs Brett Johns · Dec 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Iuri AlcantaraMetricJoe Soto
2.72
Strikes / min
3.36
2.79
Strikes absorbed / min
5.37
49%
Strike defense
67%
1.44
TDs / 15 min
0.85
60%
Takedown defense
70%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.07Δ 1.94 — meaningful gap-2.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Iuri AlcantaraJoe Soto
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Iuri Alcantara(10 fights)Joe Soto(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+33.5-33.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-8.08.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Iuri Alcantara
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights17
Joe Soto
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights8