Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Ivan Menjivar won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Wednesday, February 15, 2012·Omaha, Nebraska, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Ivan Menjivar wins(59.4%)
Actual result: Ivan Menjivar wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ivan Menjivar enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- John Albert enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Ivan Menjivar threatens submissions; John Albert has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Ivan Menjivar has 30pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- John Albert has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Ivan Menjivar
Red Corner
VS
John Albert
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
43
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'8"
162.56 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ivan MenjivarL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Mike Easton · Jul 12W
SUBvs Azamat Gashimov · Nov 12L
SUBvs Urijah Faber · Feb 13L
vs Wilson Reis · Sep 13L
vs Hatsu Hioki · Mar 14John AlbertL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Dustin Pague · Dec 11L
SUBvs Erik Perez · Jun 12L
SUBvs Scott Jorgensen · Dec 12L
SUBvs Yaotzin Meza · Jul 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ivan MenjivarMetricJohn Albert
2.78
Strikes / min
3.05
2.76
Strikes absorbed / min
2.82
65%
Strike defense
35%
0.56
TDs / 15 min
0.00
38%
Takedown defense
50%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
6.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.02evenly matched on net striking+0.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ivan MenjivarJohn Albert
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ivan Menjivar(8 fights)John Albert(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.0-16.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+119.0-119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Ivan Menjivar
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights8
John Albert
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights5