Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Iwo Baraniewski won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 21, 2026·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Model Prediction: Iwo Baraniewski wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Iwo Baraniewski wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Iwo Baraniewski is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Austen Lane has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Iwo Baraniewski has 67pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Austen Lane has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Iwo Baraniewski
Red Corner
VS
Austen Lane
Blue Corner
-590
(86%)
Vegas Odds
+410
(20%)
27
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'6"
185.42 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Iwo Baraniewski
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ibo Aslan · Dec 25Austen LaneL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Justin Tafa · Sep 23L
KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Apr 24W
vs Robelis Despaigne · Oct 24L
KOvs Mario Pinto · Mar 25L
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Iwo BaraniewskiMetricAusten Lane
15.77
Strikes / min
2.70
14.01
Strikes absorbed / min
2.45
46%
Strike defense
39%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.50
100%
Takedown defense
33%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.76Δ 1.51 — meaningful gap+0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Iwo BaraniewskiAusten Lane
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Iwo Baraniewski(2 fights)Austen Lane(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+52.2-52.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-147.0147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Iwo Baraniewski
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2
Austen Lane
StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights6