Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Iwo Baraniewski won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 6, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupIwo Baraniewski: Pressure fightervsIbo Aslan: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Iwo Baraniewski wins(65.1%)
Actual result: Iwo Baraniewski wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ibo Aslan has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ibo Aslan has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Iwo Baraniewski
Red Corner
VS
Ibo Aslan
Blue Corner
-215
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
27
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'3"
185.42 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Iwo Baraniewski
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Austen Lane · Mar 26Ibo AslanL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Anton Turkalj · Mar 24W
KOvs Rafael Cerqueira · Oct 24L
SUBvs Ion Cutelaba · Feb 25L
vs Billy Elekana · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Iwo BaraniewskiMetricIbo Aslan
15.77
Strikes / min
5.75
14.01
Strikes absorbed / min
3.96
46%
Strike defense
56%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
100%
Takedown defense
87%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.76evenly matched on net striking+1.79
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Iwo BaraniewskiIbo Aslan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Iwo Baraniewski(2 fights)Ibo Aslan(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+5.8-5.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.4-49.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
Iwo Baraniewski
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2
Ibo Aslan
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights5