Middleweight
3 Rounds
Andre Muniz won · SUB
UFC Event·Saturday, May 15, 2021·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupJacare Souza: WrestlervsAndre Muniz: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Jacare Souza wins(50.7%)
Actual result: Andre Muniz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jacare Souza enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jacare Souza has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jacare Souza has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Andre Muniz (53.5%).
- Andre Muniz has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jacare Souza
Red Corner
VS
Andre Muniz
Blue Corner
-117
(54%)
Vegas Odds
-103
(51%)
46
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'1"
182.88 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jacare SouzaL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Nov 18L
vs Jack Hermansson · Apr 19L
vs Jan Blachowicz · Nov 19L
vs Uriah Hall · May 20L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Dec 20Andre MunizL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Feb 23L
KOvs Paul Craig · Jul 23W
vs JunYong Park · Dec 23L
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Apr 25L
KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jacare SouzaMetricAndre Muniz
2.53
Strikes / min
2.08
2.83
Strikes absorbed / min
2.46
62%
Strike defense
51%
2.57
TDs / 15 min
3.98
57%
Takedown defense
35%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.30evenly matched on net striking-0.38
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jacare SouzaAndre Muniz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jacare Souza(10 fights)Andre Muniz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-2.32.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-98.098.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.81.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Jacare Souza
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights17
Andre Muniz
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights10