Middleweight
5 Rounds
Jack Hermansson won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, April 27, 2019·Sunrise, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupJacare Souza: WrestlervsJack Hermansson: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Jacare Souza wins(52.4%)
Actual result: Jack Hermansson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jacare Souza enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jack Hermansson has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Jack Hermansson has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jacare Souza
Red Corner
VS
Jack Hermansson
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+185
(35%)
46
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'1"
182.88 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jacare SouzaL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Nov 18L
vs Jan Blachowicz · Nov 19L
vs Uriah Hall · May 20L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Dec 20L
SUBvs Andre Muniz · May 21Jack HermanssonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Chris Curtis · Jul 22L
KOvs Roman Dolidze · Dec 22W
vs Joe Pyfer · Feb 24L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Jun 25L
KOvs Myktybek Orolbai · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jacare SouzaMetricJack Hermansson
2.53
Strikes / min
5.15
2.83
Strikes absorbed / min
3.72
62%
Strike defense
56%
2.57
TDs / 15 min
1.48
57%
Takedown defense
80%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.30Δ 1.73 — meaningful gap+1.43
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jacare SouzaJack Hermansson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jacare Souza(10 fights)Jack Hermansson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.5-36.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+147.0-147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Jacare Souza
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights17
Jack Hermansson
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights19