Middleweight
3 Rounds
Robert Whittaker won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 15, 2017·Kansas City, Missouri, USA, USA
Style matchupJacare Souza: WrestlervsRobert Whittaker: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Jacare Souza wins(55.9%)
Actual result: Robert Whittaker wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jacare Souza enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Robert Whittaker has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jacare Souza
Red Corner
VS
Robert Whittaker
Blue Corner
-265
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+225
(31%)
46
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jacare SouzaL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jack Hermansson · Apr 19L
vs Jan Blachowicz · Nov 19L
vs Uriah Hall · May 20L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Dec 20L
SUBvs Andre Muniz · May 21Robert WhittakerL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Jul 23W
vs Paulo Costa · Feb 24W
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Jun 24L
SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 24L
vs Reinier de Ridder · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jacare SouzaMetricRobert Whittaker
2.53
Strikes / min
4.39
2.83
Strikes absorbed / min
3.36
62%
Strike defense
59%
2.57
TDs / 15 min
0.73
57%
Takedown defense
82%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.30Δ 1.33 — meaningful gap+1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jacare SouzaRobert Whittaker
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jacare Souza(10 fights)Robert Whittaker(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-4.74.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-77.077.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.12.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Jacare Souza
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights17
Robert Whittaker
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights24