Middleweight
3 Rounds
Jacare Souza won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 11, 2017·Brooklyn, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupJacare Souza: WrestlervsTim Boetsch: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Jacare Souza wins(56.7%)
Actual result: Jacare Souza wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jacare Souza enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Jacare Souza threatens submissions; Tim Boetsch has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Tale of the Tape
Jacare Souza
Red Corner
VS
Tim Boetsch
Blue Corner
-600
(86%)
Vegas Odds
+450
(18%)
46
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jacare SouzaL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jack Hermansson · Apr 19L
vs Jan Blachowicz · Nov 19L
vs Uriah Hall · May 20L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Dec 20L
SUBvs Andre Muniz · May 21Tim BoetschL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Josh Samman · Jul 16W
KOvs Rafael Natal · Nov 16W
KOvs Johny Hendricks · Jun 17L
SUBvs Antonio Carlos Junior · Apr 18L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Mar 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jacare SouzaMetricTim Boetsch
2.53
Strikes / min
2.93
2.83
Strikes absorbed / min
2.90
62%
Strike defense
57%
2.57
TDs / 15 min
1.45
57%
Takedown defense
59%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.30evenly matched on net striking+0.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jacare SouzaTim Boetsch
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jacare Souza(10 fights)Tim Boetsch(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+55.5-55.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+182.0-182.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Jacare Souza
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights17
Tim Boetsch
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights20