Middleweight
3 Rounds
Jacare Souza won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 14, 2016·Curitiba, Parana, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Jacare Souza wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Jacare Souza wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jacare Souza enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Jacare Souza has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Vitor Belfort (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jacare Souza
Red Corner
VS
Vitor Belfort
Blue Corner
-280
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+240
(29%)
46
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jacare SouzaL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jack Hermansson · Apr 19L
vs Jan Blachowicz · Nov 19L
vs Uriah Hall · May 20L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Dec 20L
SUBvs Andre Muniz · May 21Vitor Belfort
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Chris Weidman · May 15W
KOvs Dan Henderson · Nov 15L
KOvs Gegard Mousasi · Oct 16W
vs Nate Marquardt · Jun 17L
KOvs Lyoto Machida · May 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jacare SouzaMetricVitor Belfort
2.53
Strikes / min
1.59
2.83
Strikes absorbed / min
2.83
62%
Strike defense
50%
2.57
TDs / 15 min
1.02
57%
Takedown defense
53%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.30evenly matched on net striking-1.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jacare SouzaVitor Belfort
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jacare Souza(10 fights)Vitor Belfort(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.6-15.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Jacare Souza
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights17
Vitor Belfort
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights13