Middleweight
3 Rounds
Yoel Romero won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 12, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJacare Souza: WrestlervsYoel Romero: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Jacare Souza wins(60.5%)
Actual result: Yoel Romero wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jacare Souza enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Yoel Romero enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Yoel Romero has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Yoel Romero (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jacare Souza
Red Corner
VS
Yoel Romero
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
46
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jacare SouzaL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jack Hermansson · Apr 19L
vs Jan Blachowicz · Nov 19L
vs Uriah Hall · May 20L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Dec 20L
SUBvs Andre Muniz · May 21Yoel RomeroL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 17W
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Feb 18L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jun 18L
vs Paulo Costa · Aug 19L
vs Israel Adesanya · Mar 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jacare SouzaMetricYoel Romero
2.53
Strikes / min
3.44
2.83
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
62%
Strike defense
60%
2.57
TDs / 15 min
1.57
57%
Takedown defense
78%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.30evenly matched on net striking+0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jacare SouzaYoel Romero
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jacare Souza(10 fights)Yoel Romero(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.615.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+70.0-70.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Jacare Souza
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights17
Yoel Romero
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13