Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jack Della Maddalena won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 19, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJack Della Maddalena: Pressure fightervsDanny Roberts: Striker
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Jack Della Maddalena wins(69.3%)
Actual result: Jack Della Maddalena wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jack Della Maddalena is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Danny Roberts has lost 71% of fights by KO.
- Jack Della Maddalena has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jack Della Maddalena (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Jack Della Maddalena
Red Corner
VS
Danny Roberts
Blue Corner
-700
(88%)
Vegas Odds
+510
(16%)
29
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jack Della Maddalena
oldest →latest
W
vs Bassil Hafez · Jul 23W
vs Kevin Holland · Sep 23W
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 24W
vs Belal Muhammad · May 25L
vs Islam Makhachev · Nov 25Danny RobertsL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Michel Pereira · May 19W
KOvs Zelim Imadaev · Nov 19W
vs Ramazan Emeev · Oct 21L
vs Francisco Trinaldo · May 22L
KOvs Jonny Parsons · Jul 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jack Della MaddalenaMetricDanny Roberts
5.32
Strikes / min
3.18
4.24
Strikes absorbed / min
3.73
61%
Strike defense
50%
0.34
TDs / 15 min
0.24
64%
Takedown defense
57%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.08Δ 1.63 — meaningful gap-0.55
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jack Della MaddalenaDanny Roberts
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jack Della Maddalena(9 fights)Danny Roberts(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+4.2-4.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Jack Della Maddalena
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights9
Danny Roberts
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights14