Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jack Della Maddalena is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Danny Roberts has lost 71% of fights by KO.
- Jack Della Maddalena has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jack Della Maddalena (54.1%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jack Della MaddalenaL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Kevin Holland · Sep 23W
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 24W
vs Belal Muhammad · May 25L
vs Islam Makhachev · Nov 25L
KOvs Carlos Prates · May 26 Danny RobertsL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Michel Pereira · May 19W
KOvs Zelim Imadaev · Nov 19W
vs Ramazan Emeev · Oct 21L
vs Francisco Trinaldo · May 22L
KOvs Jonny Parsons · Jul 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jack Della MaddalenaMetricDanny Roberts
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.08Δ 1.63 — meaningful gap-0.55
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jack Della MaddalenaDanny Roberts
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jack Della Maddalena(10 fights)Danny Roberts(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +41.2|Blue -41.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jack Della MaddalenaTargetDanny Roberts
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Jack Della Maddalena rounds
Round 1Jack Della Maddalena edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:34
Knockdowns2
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:15Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
