Middleweight
3 Rounds
Jack Hermansson won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Sunday, May 28, 2017·Stockholm, Sweden, Sweden
Style matchupJack Hermansson: Pressure fightervsAlex Nicholson: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Jack Hermansson wins(60.7%)
Actual result: Jack Hermansson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Nicholson is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Jack Hermansson has lost 63% of fights by KO.
- Jack Hermansson has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jack Hermansson
Red Corner
VS
Alex Nicholson
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
37
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'4"
195.58 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jack HermanssonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Chris Curtis · Jul 22L
KOvs Roman Dolidze · Dec 22W
vs Joe Pyfer · Feb 24L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Jun 25L
KOvs Myktybek Orolbai · Nov 25Alex Nicholson
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Misha Cirkunov · Feb 16W
KOvs Devin Clark · Jul 16L
vs Sam Alvey · Nov 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jack HermanssonMetricAlex Nicholson
5.15
Strikes / min
4.12
3.72
Strikes absorbed / min
4.65
56%
Strike defense
47%
1.48
TDs / 15 min
0.00
80%
Takedown defense
50%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.43Δ 1.96 — meaningful gap-0.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jack HermanssonAlex Nicholson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jack Hermansson(10 fights)Alex Nicholson(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.1-14.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Jack Hermansson
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights19
Alex Nicholson
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights4