Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Curtis is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Jack Hermansson has lost 63% of fights by KO.
- Jack Hermansson has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jack HermanssonL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Sean Strickland · Feb 22L
KOvs Roman Dolidze · Dec 22L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Jun 25L
KOvs Myktybek Orolbai · Nov 25 Chris Curtis
oldest →W
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jan 24L
vs Brendan Allen · Apr 24L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Jan 25L
vs Myktybek Orolbai · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jack HermanssonMetricChris Curtis
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.43Δ 1.66 — meaningful gap-0.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jack HermanssonChris Curtis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jack Hermansson(10 fights)Chris Curtis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -10.9|Blue +10.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +140.0|Blue -140.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jack HermanssonTargetChris Curtis
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jack Hermansson edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Jack Hermansson edged it
Sig. strikes45
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Jack Hermansson edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
