Middleweight
3 Rounds
Jack Hermansson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 23, 2022·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupJack Hermansson: Pressure fightervsChris Curtis: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Chris Curtis wins(50.4%)
Actual result: Jack Hermansson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Curtis is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Jack Hermansson has lost 63% of fights by KO.
- Jack Hermansson has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jack Hermansson
Red Corner
VS
Chris Curtis
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
37
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'10"
195.58 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jack HermanssonL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Sean Strickland · Feb 22L
KOvs Roman Dolidze · Dec 22W
vs Joe Pyfer · Feb 24L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Jun 25L
KOvs Myktybek Orolbai · Nov 25Chris Curtis
oldest →latest
W
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jan 24L
vs Brendan Allen · Apr 24L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Jan 25W
vs Max Griffin · Jul 25L
vs Myktybek Orolbai · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jack HermanssonMetricChris Curtis
5.15
Strikes / min
5.52
3.72
Strikes absorbed / min
5.75
56%
Strike defense
54%
1.48
TDs / 15 min
0.00
80%
Takedown defense
64%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.43Δ 1.66 — meaningful gap-0.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jack HermanssonChris Curtis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jack Hermansson(10 fights)Chris Curtis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.4-13.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+140.0-140.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Jack Hermansson
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights19
Chris Curtis
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11