Middleweight
3 Rounds
Gregory Rodrigues won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 28, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJack Hermansson: Pressure fightervsGregory Rodrigues: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Gregory Rodrigues wins(58.1%)
Actual result: Gregory Rodrigues wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gregory Rodrigues is a KO finisher (70% of wins). Jack Hermansson has lost 63% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Jack Hermansson
Red Corner
VS
Gregory Rodrigues
Blue Corner
+172
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-205
(67%)
37
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'3"
195.58 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jack Hermansson
oldest →latest
L
vs Sean Strickland · Feb 22W
vs Chris Curtis · Jul 22L
KOvs Roman Dolidze · Dec 22W
vs Joe Pyfer · Feb 24L
KOvs Myktybek Orolbai · Nov 25Gregory RodriguesW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Brad Tavares · Feb 24W
vs Christian Leroy Duncan · Jul 24L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Feb 25W
vs Roman Kopylov · Nov 25W
KOvs Brunno Ferreira · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jack HermanssonMetricGregory Rodrigues
5.15
Strikes / min
5.53
3.72
Strikes absorbed / min
4.78
56%
Strike defense
50%
1.48
TDs / 15 min
1.90
80%
Takedown defense
75%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.43evenly matched on net striking+0.75
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jack HermanssonGregory Rodrigues
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jack Hermansson(10 fights)Gregory Rodrigues(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+23.0-23.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+371.0-371.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Jack Hermansson
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights19
Gregory Rodrigues
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights13