Middleweight
5 Rounds
Jack Hermansson won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, February 10, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJack Hermansson: Pressure fightervsJoe Pyfer: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Joe Pyfer wins(54.8%)
Actual result: Jack Hermansson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jack Hermansson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joe Pyfer enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Joe Pyfer is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Jack Hermansson has lost 63% of fights by KO.
- Jack Hermansson has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jack Hermansson
Red Corner
VS
Joe Pyfer
Blue Corner
+205
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-250
(71%)
37
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'2"
195.58 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jack HermanssonL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Sean Strickland · Feb 22W
vs Chris Curtis · Jul 22L
KOvs Roman Dolidze · Dec 22L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Jun 25L
KOvs Myktybek Orolbai · Nov 25Joe PyferW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Abdul Razak Alhassan · Oct 23W
KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jun 24W
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jun 25W
SUBvs Abus Magomedov · Oct 25W
KOvs Israel Adesanya · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jack HermanssonMetricJoe Pyfer
5.15
Strikes / min
3.52
3.72
Strikes absorbed / min
3.22
56%
Strike defense
52%
1.48
TDs / 15 min
1.45
80%
Takedown defense
62%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.43Δ 1.13 — meaningful gap+0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jack HermanssonJoe Pyfer
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jack Hermansson(10 fights)Joe Pyfer(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.1-18.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+308.0-308.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Jack Hermansson
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights19
Joe Pyfer
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8