Middleweight
3 Rounds
Roman Dolidze won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 3, 2022·Orlando, Florida, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jack Hermansson wins(52.7%)
Actual result: Roman Dolidze wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roman Dolidze is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Jack Hermansson has lost 63% of fights by KO.
- Jack Hermansson has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jack Hermansson
Red Corner
VS
Roman Dolidze
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'2"
195.58 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jack HermanssonL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Sean Strickland · Feb 22W
vs Chris Curtis · Jul 22W
vs Joe Pyfer · Feb 24L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Jun 25L
KOvs Myktybek Orolbai · Nov 25Roman DolidzeL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Anthony Smith · Jun 24W
KOvs Kevin Holland · Oct 24W
vs Marvin Vettori · Mar 25L
SUBvs Anthony Hernandez · Aug 25L
vs Christian Leroy Duncan · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jack HermanssonMetricRoman Dolidze
5.15
Strikes / min
3.19
3.72
Strikes absorbed / min
3.71
56%
Strike defense
48%
1.48
TDs / 15 min
1.16
80%
Takedown defense
32%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.43Δ 1.95 — meaningful gap-0.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jack HermanssonRoman Dolidze
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jack Hermansson(10 fights)Roman Dolidze(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+26.6-26.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+98.0-98.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Jack Hermansson
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights19
Roman Dolidze
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights14