Featherweight
3 Rounds
Jack Jenkins won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 11, 2023·Perth, Western Australia, Australia, Australia
Style matchupJack Jenkins: Elusive strikervsDon Shainis: Submission grappler
The grappler must close distance and chain wrestling. The elusive striker keeps space and picks shots.
Model Prediction: Jack Jenkins wins(70.9%)
Actual result: Jack Jenkins wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jack Jenkins has 28pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jack Jenkins has 51pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jack Jenkins (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Jack Jenkins
Red Corner
VS
Don Shainis
Blue Corner
-450
(82%)
Vegas Odds
+360
(22%)
32
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
172.72 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jack Jenkins
oldest →latest
W
vs Jamall Emmers · Jun 23L
KOvs Chepe Mariscal · Sep 23W
KOvs Herbert Burns · Aug 24L
SUBvs Gabriel Santos · Feb 25W
vs Ramon Taveras · Sep 25Don Shainis
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Sodiq Yusuff · Oct 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jack JenkinsMetricDon Shainis
4.48
Strikes / min
3.42
2.95
Strikes absorbed / min
5.87
59%
Strike defense
31%
1.98
TDs / 15 min
0.97
71%
Takedown defense
20%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.53Δ 3.98 — meaningful gap-2.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jack JenkinsDon Shainis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jack Jenkins(6 fights)Don Shainis(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+12.9-12.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.6-49.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.5-49.5
Jack Jenkins
StanceSwitch
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6
Don Shainis
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights2