Featherweight
3 Rounds
Gabriel Santos won · SUB R3
JJ
GS
Jack JenkinsvsGabriel Santos
UFC Event · Saturday, February 8, 2025Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, Australia
Style matchupJack Jenkins: Elusive strikervsGabriel Santos: Wrestler
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Jack Jenkins wins(52.4%)
Actual result: Gabriel Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gabriel Santos threatens submissions; Jack Jenkins has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Jack Jenkins has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Gabriel Santos has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jack Jenkins (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Jack Jenkins
Red Corner
VS
Gabriel Santos
Blue Corner
+188
(35%)
Vegas Odds
-225
(69%)
32
Age
29
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'9"
172.72 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jack JenkinsW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Don Shainis · Feb 23W
vs Jamall Emmers · Jun 23L
KOvs Chepe Mariscal · Sep 23W
KOvs Herbert Burns · Aug 24W
vs Ramon Taveras · Sep 25Gabriel Santos
oldest →latest
L
vs Lerone Murphy · Mar 23L
KOvs David Onama · Jun 23W
vs Yizha · Sep 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jack JenkinsMetricGabriel Santos
4.48
Strikes / min
4.35
2.95
Strikes absorbed / min
4.31
59%
Strike defense
45%
1.98
TDs / 15 min
3.80
71%
Takedown defense
87%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.53Δ 1.49 — meaningful gap+0.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jack JenkinsGabriel Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jack Jenkins(6 fights)Gabriel Santos(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+41.3-41.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Jack Jenkins
StanceSwitch
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6
Gabriel Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4