Featherweight
3 Rounds
Jack Jenkins won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 17, 2024·Perth, Western Australia, Australia, Australia
Style matchupJack Jenkins: Elusive strikervsHerbert Burns: Wrestler
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Jack Jenkins wins(73.6%)
Actual result: Jack Jenkins wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Herbert Burns enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Herbert Burns is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Jack Jenkins has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Herbert Burns threatens submissions; Jack Jenkins has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Jack Jenkins has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jack Jenkins (52.9%).
- Herbert Burns has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jack Jenkins
Red Corner
VS
Herbert Burns
Blue Corner
-1050
(91%)
Vegas Odds
+600
(14%)
32
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'9"
172.72 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jack Jenkins
oldest →latest
W
vs Don Shainis · Feb 23W
vs Jamall Emmers · Jun 23L
KOvs Chepe Mariscal · Sep 23L
SUBvs Gabriel Santos · Feb 25W
vs Ramon Taveras · Sep 25Herbert BurnsL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Nate Landwehr · Jan 20W
SUBvs Evan Dunham · Jun 20L
KOvs Daniel Pineda · Aug 20L
KOvs Bill Algeo · Jul 22L
KOvs Julio Arce · Mar 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jack JenkinsMetricHerbert Burns
4.48
Strikes / min
1.86
2.95
Strikes absorbed / min
5.17
59%
Strike defense
41%
1.98
TDs / 15 min
2.94
71%
Takedown defense
66%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.53Δ 4.84 — meaningful gap-3.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jack JenkinsHerbert Burns
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jack Jenkins(6 fights)Herbert Burns(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.0-32.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+203.0-203.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
Jack Jenkins
StanceSwitch
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6
Herbert Burns
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6