Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jack Marshman enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors John Phillips (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jack MarshmanL4 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Antonio Carlos Junior · Oct 17L
vs Karl Roberson · Nov 18L
SUBvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Jul 19L
vs Sean Strickland · Oct 20 John PhillipsL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Charles Byrd · Mar 18L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Nov 18W
KOvs Alen Amedovski · Sep 19L
SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Jul 20L
vs Junyong Park · Oct 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jack MarshmanMetricJohn Phillips
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.45evenly matched on net striking-2.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jack MarshmanJohn Phillips
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jack Marshman(8 fights)John Phillips(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jack MarshmanTargetJohn Phillips
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1John Phillips edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:36Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
