Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jacob Volkmann won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, August 14, 2011·Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA, USA
Style matchupJacob Volkmann: WrestlervsDanny Castillo: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Jacob Volkmann wins(58.5%)
Actual result: Jacob Volkmann wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Danny Castillo enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Danny Castillo has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jacob Volkmann (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jacob Volkmann
Red Corner
VS
Danny Castillo
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
45
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jacob Volkmann
oldest →latest
W
vs Antonio McKee · Jan 11W
vs Efrain Escudero · Dec 11L
SUBvs Paul Sass · May 12W
SUBvs Shane Roller · Oct 12L
SUBvs Bobby Green · Feb 13Danny CastilloL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Charlie Brenneman · Apr 14L
vs Tony Ferguson · Aug 14L
KOvs Paul Felder · Jan 15L
vs Jim Miller · Jul 15L
vs Nik Lentz · Dec 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jacob VolkmannMetricDanny Castillo
1.19
Strikes / min
2.57
1.78
Strikes absorbed / min
1.96
52%
Strike defense
62%
3.19
TDs / 15 min
2.95
52%
Takedown defense
63%
2.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.59Δ 1.20 — meaningful gap+0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jacob VolkmannDanny Castillo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jacob Volkmann(8 fights)Danny Castillo(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.1-36.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+61.0-61.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Jacob Volkmann
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8
Danny Castillo
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights14