Lightweight
3 Rounds
Paul Sass won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 26, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jacob Volkmann wins(74.1%)
Actual result: Paul Sass wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Paul Sass threatens submissions; Jacob Volkmann has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Jacob Volkmann has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jacob Volkmann (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jacob Volkmann
Red Corner
VS
Paul Sass
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+175
(36%)
45
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'0"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jacob Volkmann
oldest →latest
W
vs Antonio McKee · Jan 11W
vs Danny Castillo · Aug 11W
vs Efrain Escudero · Dec 11W
SUBvs Shane Roller · Oct 12L
SUBvs Bobby Green · Feb 13Paul SassL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Mark Holst · Oct 10W
SUBvs Michael Johnson · Oct 11L
SUBvs Matt Wiman · Sep 12L
vs Danny Castillo · Feb 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jacob VolkmannMetricPaul Sass
1.19
Strikes / min
0.53
1.78
Strikes absorbed / min
1.90
52%
Strike defense
51%
3.19
TDs / 15 min
0.53
52%
Takedown defense
33%
2.00
Sub atts / 15 min
7.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.59evenly matched on net striking-1.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jacob VolkmannPaul Sass
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jacob Volkmann(8 fights)Paul Sass(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+49.8-49.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-90.090.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Jacob Volkmann
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8
Paul Sass
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights5