Flyweight
3 Rounds
Jafel Filho won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 22, 2023·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupJafel Filho: WrestlervsDaniel Barez: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Jafel Filho wins(55.9%)
Actual result: Jafel Filho wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jafel Filho threatens submissions; Daniel Barez has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Daniel Barez has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jafel Filho
Red Corner
VS
Daniel Barez
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
33
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
172.72 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jafel Filho
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Mar 23W
SUBvs Ode Osbourne · Mar 24L
vs Allan Nascimento · May 25W
SUBvs Clayton Carpenter · Oct 25Daniel Barez
oldest →latest
W
vs Victor Altamirano · Sep 24L
SUBvs Andre Lima · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jafel FilhoMetricDaniel Barez
1.78
Strikes / min
3.65
1.76
Strikes absorbed / min
5.95
50%
Strike defense
50%
2.40
TDs / 15 min
1.93
50%
Takedown defense
80%
1.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.02Δ 2.32 — meaningful gap-2.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jafel FilhoDaniel Barez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jafel Filho(5 fights)Daniel Barez(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.913.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.249.2
Jafel Filho
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights5
Daniel Barez
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights3