Flyweight
3 Rounds
Jafel Filho won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 16, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJafel Filho: WrestlervsOde Osbourne: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Jafel Filho wins(66.2%)
Actual result: Jafel Filho wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ode Osbourne has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ode Osbourne (53.5%).
- Ode Osbourne has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jafel Filho
Red Corner
VS
Ode Osbourne
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
33
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'7"
172.72 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jafel Filho
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Mar 23W
SUBvs Daniel Barez · Jul 23L
vs Allan Nascimento · May 25W
SUBvs Clayton Carpenter · Oct 25Ode OsbourneL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Asu Almabayev · Aug 23L
vs Ronaldo Rodriguez · Sep 24W
KOvs Luis Gurule · Apr 25L
vs Steve Erceg · Aug 25L
vs Alibi Idiris · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jafel FilhoMetricOde Osbourne
1.78
Strikes / min
2.94
1.76
Strikes absorbed / min
3.24
50%
Strike defense
49%
2.40
TDs / 15 min
0.94
50%
Takedown defense
66%
1.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.02evenly matched on net striking-0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jafel FilhoOde Osbourne
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jafel Filho(5 fights)Ode Osbourne(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+4.9-4.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Jafel Filho
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights5
Ode Osbourne
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights11