Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jailton Almeida won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 1, 2024·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupJailton Almeida: WrestlervsAlexandr Romanov: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Jailton Almeida wins(68.7%)
Actual result: Jailton Almeida wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jailton Almeida threatens submissions; Alexandr Romanov has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Alexandr Romanov has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jailton Almeida has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alexandr Romanov (53.5%).
- Jailton Almeida has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jailton Almeida
Red Corner
VS
Alexandr Romanov
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
34
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'2"
200.66 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jailton AlmeidaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Derrick Lewis · Nov 23L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Mar 24W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Jan 25L
vs Alexander Volkov · Oct 25L
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Feb 26Alexandr RomanovW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Chase Sherman · Apr 22L
vs Marcin Tybura · Aug 22L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Mar 23W
vs Blagoy Ivanov · Jul 23W
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jailton AlmeidaMetricAlexandr Romanov
2.23
Strikes / min
3.78
1.30
Strikes absorbed / min
2.13
43%
Strike defense
54%
5.64
TDs / 15 min
4.49
60%
Takedown defense
28%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.93evenly matched on net striking+1.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jailton AlmeidaAlexandr Romanov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jailton Almeida(10 fights)Alexandr Romanov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+24.7-24.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-252.0252.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Jailton Almeida
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights11
Alexandr Romanov
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10