Catch Weight
3 Rounds
Jailton Almeida won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, September 10, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJailton Almeida: WrestlervsAnton Turkalj: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Jailton Almeida wins(72.3%)
Actual result: Jailton Almeida wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anton Turkalj enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Anton Turkalj has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jailton Almeida has 44pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jailton Almeida
Red Corner
VS
Anton Turkalj
Blue Corner
-645
(87%)
Vegas Odds
+480
(17%)
34
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'4"
200.66 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jailton AlmeidaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Mar 24W
SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Jun 24W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Jan 25L
vs Alexander Volkov · Oct 25L
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Feb 26Anton TurkaljL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Vitor Petrino · Mar 23L
KOvs Tyson Pedro · Sep 23L
KOvs Ibo Aslan · Mar 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jailton AlmeidaMetricAnton Turkalj
2.23
Strikes / min
2.45
1.30
Strikes absorbed / min
3.42
43%
Strike defense
54%
5.64
TDs / 15 min
4.98
60%
Takedown defense
16%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.93Δ 1.90 — meaningful gap-0.97
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jailton AlmeidaAnton Turkalj
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jailton Almeida(10 fights)Anton Turkalj(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+30.4-30.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-48.648.6
Jailton Almeida
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights11
Anton Turkalj
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights4