Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jailton Almeida won · KO/TKO R1
JA
SS
Jailton AlmeidavsSerghei Spivac
UFC Event · Saturday, January 18, 2025Inglewood, California, USA, USA
Style matchupJailton Almeida: WrestlervsSerghei Spivac: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Jailton Almeida wins(67.6%)
Actual result: Jailton Almeida wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Jailton Almeida
Red Corner
VS
Serghei Spivac
Blue Corner
-450
(82%)
Vegas Odds
+350
(22%)
34
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
200.66 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jailton AlmeidaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Derrick Lewis · Nov 23L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Mar 24W
SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Jun 24L
vs Alexander Volkov · Oct 25L
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Feb 26Serghei Spivac
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Derrick Lewis · Feb 23L
KOvs Ciryl Gane · Sep 23W
SUBvs Marcin Tybura · Aug 24L
vs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jun 25W
vs Ante Delija · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jailton AlmeidaMetricSerghei Spivac
2.23
Strikes / min
3.57
1.30
Strikes absorbed / min
4.23
43%
Strike defense
52%
5.64
TDs / 15 min
3.82
60%
Takedown defense
63%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.93Δ 1.59 — meaningful gap-0.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jailton AlmeidaSerghei Spivac
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jailton Almeida(10 fights)Serghei Spivac(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+25.4-25.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+70.0-70.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Jailton Almeida
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights11
Serghei Spivac
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15