Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jairzinho Rozenstruik won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 10, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJairzinho Rozenstruik: StrikervsChris Daukaus: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Chris Daukaus wins(56.9%)
Actual result: Jairzinho Rozenstruik wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Daukaus enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jairzinho Rozenstruik is a KO finisher (89% of wins). Chris Daukaus has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Chris Daukaus has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Red Corner
VS
Chris Daukaus
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
38
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
198.12 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Jun 22L
SUBvs Jailton Almeida · May 23W
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Mar 24W
vs Tai Tuivasa · Aug 24L
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Feb 25Chris DaukausL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Feb 21W
KOvs Shamil Abdurakhimov · Sep 21L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Dec 21L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Mar 22L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Aug 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jairzinho RozenstruikMetricChris Daukaus
3.48
Strikes / min
6.05
2.63
Strikes absorbed / min
4.64
52%
Strike defense
55%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
72%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.85evenly matched on net striking+1.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jairzinho RozenstruikChris Daukaus
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jairzinho Rozenstruik(10 fights)Chris Daukaus(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-2.22.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-70.070.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15
Chris Daukaus
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights8