Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Ciryl Gane won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, February 27, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJairzinho Rozenstruik: StrikervsCiryl Gane: Elusive striker
Two strikers, different gameplans. Volume vs precision — judges typically favor activity.
Model Prediction: Ciryl Gane wins(58.7%)
Actual result: Ciryl Gane wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jairzinho Rozenstruik has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Red Corner
VS
Ciryl Gane
Blue Corner
+185
(35%)
Vegas Odds
-225
(69%)
38
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'4"
198.12 cm
Reach
205.74 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Dec 22L
SUBvs Jailton Almeida · May 23W
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Mar 24W
vs Tai Tuivasa · Aug 24L
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Feb 25Ciryl Gane
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Sep 22L
SUBvs Jon Jones · Mar 23W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Sep 23W
vs Alexander Volkov · Dec 24L
vs Tom Aspinall · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jairzinho RozenstruikMetricCiryl Gane
3.48
Strikes / min
5.29
2.63
Strikes absorbed / min
2.33
52%
Strike defense
60%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.68
72%
Takedown defense
47%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.85Δ 2.11 — meaningful gap+2.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jairzinho RozenstruikCiryl Gane
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jairzinho Rozenstruik(10 fights)Ciryl Gane(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.8-1.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+119.0-119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15
Ciryl Gane
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights13