Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Jailton Almeida won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 13, 2023·Charlotte, North Carolina, USA, USA
Style matchupJairzinho Rozenstruik: StrikervsJailton Almeida: Wrestler
Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Jailton Almeida wins(57.6%)
Actual result: Jailton Almeida wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tale of the Tape
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Red Corner
VS
Jailton Almeida
Blue Corner
+390
(20%)
Vegas Odds
-510
(84%)
38
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
198.12 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Jun 22W
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Dec 22W
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Mar 24W
vs Tai Tuivasa · Aug 24L
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Feb 25Jailton AlmeidaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Mar 24W
SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Jun 24W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Jan 25L
vs Alexander Volkov · Oct 25L
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jairzinho RozenstruikMetricJailton Almeida
3.48
Strikes / min
2.23
2.63
Strikes absorbed / min
1.30
52%
Strike defense
43%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
5.64
72%
Takedown defense
60%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.85evenly matched on net striking+0.93
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jairzinho RozenstruikJailton Almeida
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jairzinho Rozenstruik(10 fights)Jailton Almeida(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-14.314.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15
Jailton Almeida
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights11