Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Jairzinho Rozenstruik won · KO/TKO R4
UFC Event·Saturday, March 2, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJairzinho Rozenstruik: StrikervsShamil Gaziev: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Shamil Gaziev wins(55.0%)
Actual result: Jairzinho Rozenstruik wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jairzinho Rozenstruik is a KO finisher (89% of wins). Shamil Gaziev has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Red Corner
VS
Shamil Gaziev
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-180
(64%)
38
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'4"
198.12 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Jun 22W
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Dec 22L
SUBvs Jailton Almeida · May 23W
vs Tai Tuivasa · Aug 24L
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Feb 25Shamil Gaziev
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Martin Buday · Dec 23W
vs Don'Tale Mayes · Aug 24W
KOvs Thomas Petersen · Feb 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jairzinho RozenstruikMetricShamil Gaziev
3.48
Strikes / min
2.94
2.63
Strikes absorbed / min
4.92
52%
Strike defense
45%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.06
72%
Takedown defense
83%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.85Δ 2.83 — meaningful gap-1.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jairzinho RozenstruikShamil Gaziev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jairzinho Rozenstruik(10 fights)Shamil Gaziev(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.2-14.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+217.0-217.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15
Shamil Gaziev
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights5