Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jake Collier won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 15, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJake Collier: Pressure fightervsChase Sherman: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Jake Collier wins(63.6%)
Actual result: Jake Collier wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jake Collier enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Jake Collier
Red Corner
VS
Chase Sherman
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
37
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'4"
198.12 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake CollierL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Carlos Felipe · Jun 21L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Apr 22L
KOvs Chris Barnett · Sep 22L
vs Martin Buday · Apr 23L
vs Mohammed Usman · Sep 23Chase ShermanL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Parker Porter · Aug 21L
SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Apr 22W
KOvs Jared Vanderaa · Jul 22L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Nov 22L
vs Karl Williams · May 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake CollierMetricChase Sherman
5.80
Strikes / min
6.04
5.08
Strikes absorbed / min
6.65
50%
Strike defense
52%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
0.09
67%
Takedown defense
74%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.72Δ 1.33 — meaningful gap-0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jake CollierChase Sherman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Collier(10 fights)Chase Sherman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+35.6-35.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+70.0-70.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Jake Collier
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights14
Chase Sherman
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15