Welterweight
3 Rounds
Ben Saunders won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Friday, June 1, 2018·Utica, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupJake Ellenberger: WrestlervsBen Saunders: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Ben Saunders wins(51.0%)
Actual result: Ben Saunders wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jake Ellenberger enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Ben Saunders enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Jake Ellenberger is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Ben Saunders has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Jake Ellenberger has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Ben Saunders has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jake Ellenberger
Red Corner
VS
Ben Saunders
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
41
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'2"
180.34 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake EllenbergerL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Tarec Saffiedine · Jan 16W
KOvs Matt Brown · Jul 16L
KOvs Jorge Masvidal · Dec 16L
KOvs Mike Perry · Apr 17L
KOvs Bryan Barberena · Aug 18Ben SaundersL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Alan Jouban · Feb 18L
SUBvs Sergio Moraes · Sep 18L
KOvs Lyman Good · Nov 18L
KOvs Takashi Sato · Apr 19L
KOvs Matt Brown · Dec 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake EllenbergerMetricBen Saunders
2.47
Strikes / min
3.23
2.83
Strikes absorbed / min
3.58
60%
Strike defense
51%
2.04
TDs / 15 min
0.20
86%
Takedown defense
66%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.36evenly matched on net striking-0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jake EllenbergerBen Saunders
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Ellenberger(10 fights)Ben Saunders(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+10.5-10.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+308.0-308.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Jake Ellenberger
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights19
Ben Saunders
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights14