Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jorge Masvidal won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 3, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJake Ellenberger: WrestlervsJorge Masvidal: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Jorge Masvidal wins(57.9%)
Actual result: Jorge Masvidal wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jake Ellenberger enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jorge Masvidal enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jorge Masvidal is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Jake Ellenberger has lost 70% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Jake Ellenberger
Red Corner
VS
Jorge Masvidal
Blue Corner
+175
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-210
(68%)
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake EllenbergerL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Tarec Saffiedine · Jan 16W
KOvs Matt Brown · Jul 16L
KOvs Mike Perry · Apr 17L
KOvs Ben Saunders · Jun 18L
KOvs Bryan Barberena · Aug 18Jorge MasvidalL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Nate Diaz · Nov 19L
vs Kamaru Usman · Jul 20L
KOvs Kamaru Usman · Apr 21L
vs Colby Covington · Mar 22L
vs Gilbert Burns · Apr 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake EllenbergerMetricJorge Masvidal
2.47
Strikes / min
4.05
2.83
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
60%
Strike defense
64%
2.04
TDs / 15 min
1.38
86%
Takedown defense
72%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.36Δ 1.36 — meaningful gap+1.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jake EllenbergerJorge Masvidal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Ellenberger(10 fights)Jorge Masvidal(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-14.514.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Jake Ellenberger
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights19
Jorge Masvidal
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights22