Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jake Ellenberger won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 30, 2011·Toronto, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Style matchupJake Ellenberger: WrestlervsSean Pierson: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Sean Pierson wins(53.0%)
Actual result: Jake Ellenberger wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jake Ellenberger enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Sean Pierson enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Jake Ellenberger is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Sean Pierson has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Jake Ellenberger has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sean Pierson (53.5%).
- Sean Pierson has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jake Ellenberger
Red Corner
VS
Sean Pierson
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+185
(35%)
41
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
6'0"
180.34 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake EllenbergerL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Matt Brown · Jul 16L
KOvs Jorge Masvidal · Dec 16L
KOvs Mike Perry · Apr 17L
KOvs Ben Saunders · Jun 18L
KOvs Bryan Barberena · Aug 18Sean PiersonW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Matthew Riddle · Dec 10L
vs Dong Hyun Kim · Dec 11W
vs Jake Hecht · Jun 12W
vs Lance Benoist · Sep 12W
vs Kenny Robertson · Jun 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake EllenbergerMetricSean Pierson
2.47
Strikes / min
3.84
2.83
Strikes absorbed / min
3.73
60%
Strike defense
64%
2.04
TDs / 15 min
0.39
86%
Takedown defense
66%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.36evenly matched on net striking+0.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jake EllenbergerSean Pierson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Ellenberger(10 fights)Sean Pierson(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.4-17.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-56.056.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
Jake Ellenberger
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights19
Sean Pierson
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights6