Flyweight
3 Rounds
Allan Nascimento won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 14, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jake Hadley wins(56.1%)
Actual result: Allan Nascimento wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Allan Nascimento enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Jake Hadley has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jake Hadley (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jake Hadley
Red Corner
VS
Allan Nascimento
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+175
(36%)
29
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake Hadley
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Malcolm Gordon · Mar 23L
vs Cody Durden · Aug 23L
vs Charles Johnson · May 24W
vs Caolan Loughran · Jul 24L
vs Cameron Smotherman · Oct 24Allan NascimentoW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Tagir Ulanbekov · Oct 21W
SUBvs Carlos Hernandez · Jan 23W
vs Jafel Filho · May 25W
SUBvs Cody Durden · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake HadleyMetricAllan Nascimento
3.80
Strikes / min
3.06
4.16
Strikes absorbed / min
2.53
61%
Strike defense
52%
0.33
TDs / 15 min
1.26
54%
Takedown defense
37%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.36evenly matched on net striking+0.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jake HadleyAllan Nascimento
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Hadley(7 fights)Allan Nascimento(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.3-15.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.6-49.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.6-49.6
Jake Hadley
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7
Allan Nascimento
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5