Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Jake Hadley won · U-DEC R3
JH
CL
Jake HadleyvsCaolan Loughran
UFC Event · Saturday, July 27, 2024Manchester, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Model Prediction: Caolan Loughran wins(50.6%)
Actual result: Jake Hadley wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jake Hadley enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Caolan Loughran has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jake Hadley (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jake Hadley
Red Corner
VS
Caolan Loughran
Blue Corner
+195
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-238
(70%)
29
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake HadleyL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Carlos Candelario · Nov 22W
KOvs Malcolm Gordon · Mar 23L
vs Cody Durden · Aug 23L
vs Charles Johnson · May 24L
vs Cameron Smotherman · Oct 24Caolan LoughranW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Taylor Lapilus · Sep 23W
vs Angel Pacheco · Mar 24W
vs Nathan Fletcher · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake HadleyMetricCaolan Loughran
3.80
Strikes / min
4.73
4.16
Strikes absorbed / min
5.20
61%
Strike defense
52%
0.33
TDs / 15 min
3.00
54%
Takedown defense
87%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.36evenly matched on net striking-0.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jake HadleyCaolan Loughran
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Hadley(7 fights)Caolan Loughran(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-19.119.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Jake Hadley
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7
Caolan Loughran
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4