Lightweight
3 Rounds
Joe Duffy won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 14, 2015·Dallas, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jake Lindsey wins(62.8%)
Actual result: Joe Duffy wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joe Duffy enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joe Duffy threatens submissions; Jake Lindsey has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jake Lindsey (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Jake Lindsey
Red Corner
VS
Joe Duffy
Blue Corner
+575
(15%)
Vegas Odds
-710
(88%)
39
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake LindseyL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jon Tuck · Jun 14L
SUBvs Olivier Aubin-Mercier · Oct 14Joe DuffyL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Mitch Clarke · Jul 16W
vs Reza Madadi · Mar 17L
KOvs James Vick · Nov 17L
vs Marc Diakiese · Mar 19L
SUBvs Joel Alvarez · Jul 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake LindseyMetricJoe Duffy
3.44
Strikes / min
2.68
4.01
Strikes absorbed / min
3.78
46%
Strike defense
54%
0.65
TDs / 15 min
0.96
50%
Takedown defense
64%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.57evenly matched on net striking-1.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jake LindseyJoe Duffy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Lindsey(3 fights)Joe Duffy(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-37.037.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.348.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Jake Lindsey
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach—
Fights3
Joe Duffy
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8