Welterweight

3 Rounds

Elo1510

Elo1496

Jake MatthewsvsCarlston Harris

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · Saturday, May 30, 2026Macau, China

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Carlston Harris threatens submissions; Jake Matthews has lost 50% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Jake Matthews

Red Corner

Carlston Harris

Blue Corner

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Vegas Odds

—

1510

Elo

1496

N/A

Age

N/A

Stance

N/A

Height

N/A

Reach

N/A

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jake Matthews

oldest →

vs Michael Morales · Nov 23

vs Phil Rowe · Jun 24

vs Francisco Prado · Feb 25

SUBvs Chidi Njokuani · Jul 25

SUBvs Neil Magny · Sep 25

latest

Carlston HarrisL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Feb 22

vs Jared Gooden · Mar 23

SUBvs Jeremiah Wells · Aug 23

KOvs Khaos Williams · May 24

KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jan 25

latest

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jake Matthews(10 fights)Carlston Harris(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +66.3|Blue -66.3

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -259.0|Blue +259.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

The Pick

Vegas Favorite

—

Vegas Odds

—

Our Favorite

Carlston Harris

Our Odds

+117

No Vegas odds available yet.

46% model confidence · vufc_v4_pure_sklearn_histgb_20260528_113051

🔒 Pick locked May 29, 2026, 3:48 PM UTC · never rewritten

Jake Matthews

No profile data.

Carlston Harris

No profile data.