Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jake Matthews won · SUB R1
JM
CN
Jake MatthewsvsChidi Njokuani
UFC Event · Saturday, July 12, 2025Nashville, Tennessee, USA, USA
Style matchupJake Matthews: Well-roundedvsChidi Njokuani: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Chidi Njokuani wins(60.4%)
Actual result: Jake Matthews wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chidi Njokuani has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jake Matthews
Red Corner
VS
Chidi Njokuani
Blue Corner
-104
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-122
(55%)
31
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'3"
185.42 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake Matthews
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Darrius Flowers · Jul 23L
vs Michael Morales · Nov 23W
vs Phil Rowe · Jun 24W
vs Francisco Prado · Feb 25L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Sep 25Chidi Njokuani
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 23W
vs Rhys McKee · Mar 24W
vs Jared Gooden · Oct 24W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Mar 25L
vs Carlos Leal · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake MatthewsMetricChidi Njokuani
3.34
Strikes / min
5.16
2.62
Strikes absorbed / min
3.32
60%
Strike defense
57%
1.44
TDs / 15 min
0.00
64%
Takedown defense
75%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.72Δ 1.12 — meaningful gap+1.84
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jake MatthewsChidi Njokuani
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Matthews(10 fights)Chidi Njokuani(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+55.6-55.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Jake Matthews
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights23
Chidi Njokuani
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights10