Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jake Matthews won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, July 29, 2023·Salt Lake City, Utah, USA, USA
Style matchupJake Matthews: Well-roundedvsDarrius Flowers: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Jake Matthews wins(52.0%)
Actual result: Jake Matthews wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jake Matthews threatens submissions; Darrius Flowers has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Jake Matthews has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Jake Matthews
Red Corner
VS
Darrius Flowers
Blue Corner
-285
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+240
(29%)
31
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'9"
185.42 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake Matthews
oldest →latest
L
vs Michael Morales · Nov 23W
vs Phil Rowe · Jun 24W
vs Francisco Prado · Feb 25W
SUBvs Chidi Njokuani · Jul 25L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Sep 25Darrius FlowersL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Michael Johnson · Feb 24L
SUBvs Evan Elder · Jul 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake MatthewsMetricDarrius Flowers
3.34
Strikes / min
3.13
2.62
Strikes absorbed / min
5.35
60%
Strike defense
42%
1.44
TDs / 15 min
1.65
64%
Takedown defense
66%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.72Δ 2.94 — meaningful gap-2.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jake MatthewsDarrius Flowers
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Matthews(10 fights)Darrius Flowers(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+68.8-68.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.548.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Jake Matthews
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights23
Darrius Flowers
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4