Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jake Matthews won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 22, 2020·Auckland, New Zealand, New Zealand
Model Prediction: Jake Matthews wins(69.6%)
Actual result: Jake Matthews wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jake Matthews has 22pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jake Matthews has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Emil Meek (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Jake Matthews
Red Corner
VS
Emil Meek
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
31
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'11"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake Matthews
oldest →latest
L
vs Michael Morales · Nov 23W
vs Phil Rowe · Jun 24W
vs Francisco Prado · Feb 25W
SUBvs Chidi Njokuani · Jul 25L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Sep 25Emil MeekL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jordan Mein · Dec 16L
vs Kamaru Usman · Jan 18L
vs Bartosz Fabinski · Jul 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake MatthewsMetricEmil Meek
3.34
Strikes / min
2.52
2.62
Strikes absorbed / min
2.53
60%
Strike defense
38%
1.44
TDs / 15 min
0.25
64%
Takedown defense
47%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.72evenly matched on net striking-0.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jake MatthewsEmil Meek
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Matthews(10 fights)Emil Meek(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+76.0-76.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-440.0440.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Jake Matthews
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights23
Emil Meek
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4