Lightweight
3 Rounds
James Vick won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 9, 2015·Adelaide, South Australia, Australia, Australia
Style matchupJake Matthews: Well-roundedvsJames Vick: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Jake Matthews wins(69.6%)
Actual result: James Vick wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- James Vick enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Jake Matthews
Red Corner
VS
James Vick
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
31
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'3"
185.42 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake Matthews
oldest →latest
L
vs Michael Morales · Nov 23W
vs Phil Rowe · Jun 24W
vs Francisco Prado · Feb 25W
SUBvs Chidi Njokuani · Jul 25L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Sep 25James VickL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Francisco Trinaldo · Feb 18L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Aug 18L
vs Paul Felder · Feb 19L
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jul 19L
KOvs Niko Price · Oct 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake MatthewsMetricJames Vick
3.34
Strikes / min
4.13
2.62
Strikes absorbed / min
3.31
60%
Strike defense
60%
1.44
TDs / 15 min
0.26
64%
Takedown defense
57%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.72evenly matched on net striking+0.82
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jake MatthewsJames Vick
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Matthews(10 fights)James Vick(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-19.119.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+15.0-15.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Jake Matthews
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights23
James Vick
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights14