Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jake Matthews won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 5, 2019·Melbourne, Victoria, Australia, Australia
Model Prediction: Jake Matthews wins(77.6%)
Actual result: Jake Matthews wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rostem Akman has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rostem Akman (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Jake Matthews
Red Corner
VS
Rostem Akman
Blue Corner
-470
(82%)
Vegas Odds
+375
(21%)
31
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'11"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake Matthews
oldest →latest
L
vs Michael Morales · Nov 23W
vs Phil Rowe · Jun 24W
vs Francisco Prado · Feb 25W
SUBvs Chidi Njokuani · Jul 25L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Sep 25Rostem Akman
oldest →latest
L
vs Sergey Khandozhko · Jun 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake MatthewsMetricRostem Akman
3.34
Strikes / min
1.80
2.62
Strikes absorbed / min
3.97
60%
Strike defense
57%
1.44
TDs / 15 min
1.00
64%
Takedown defense
87%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.72Δ 2.89 — meaningful gap-2.17
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jake MatthewsRostem Akman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Matthews(10 fights)Rostem Akman(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+68.6-68.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+182.0-182.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.2-2.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Jake Matthews
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights23
Rostem Akman
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights2