Welterweight
3 Rounds
Hector Lombard won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 15, 2014·Dallas, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupJake Shields: WrestlervsHector Lombard: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Jake Shields wins(57.8%)
Actual result: Hector Lombard wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jake Shields enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Hector Lombard enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Hector Lombard has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Hector Lombard (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jake Shields
Red Corner
VS
Hector Lombard
Blue Corner
+160
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
47
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake ShieldsW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Georges St-Pierre · Apr 11L
KOvs Jake Ellenberger · Sep 11W
vs Yoshihiro Akiyama · Feb 12W
vs Tyron Woodley · Jun 13W
vs Demian Maia · Oct 13Hector LombardL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dan Henderson · Jun 16L
vs Johny Hendricks · Feb 17L
KOvs Anthony Smith · Sep 17L
vs CB Dollaway · Mar 18L
vs Thales Leites · Sep 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake ShieldsMetricHector Lombard
2.45
Strikes / min
3.02
1.80
Strikes absorbed / min
3.35
56%
Strike defense
53%
2.83
TDs / 15 min
1.69
35%
Takedown defense
77%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.65evenly matched on net striking-0.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jake ShieldsHector Lombard
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Shields(7 fights)Hector Lombard(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+33.6-33.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+10.0-10.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Jake Shields
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7
Hector Lombard
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights11