Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jake Ellenberger won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, September 17, 2011·New Orleans, Louisiana, USA, USA
Style matchupJake Shields: WrestlervsJake Ellenberger: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Jake Shields wins(53.8%)
Actual result: Jake Ellenberger wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jake Ellenberger enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jake Ellenberger has 51pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jake Shields
Red Corner
VS
Jake Ellenberger
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
47
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake Shields
oldest →latest
L
vs Georges St-Pierre · Apr 11W
vs Yoshihiro Akiyama · Feb 12W
vs Tyron Woodley · Jun 13W
vs Demian Maia · Oct 13L
vs Hector Lombard · Mar 14Jake EllenbergerL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Matt Brown · Jul 16L
KOvs Jorge Masvidal · Dec 16L
KOvs Mike Perry · Apr 17L
KOvs Ben Saunders · Jun 18L
KOvs Bryan Barberena · Aug 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake ShieldsMetricJake Ellenberger
2.45
Strikes / min
2.47
1.80
Strikes absorbed / min
2.83
56%
Strike defense
60%
2.83
TDs / 15 min
2.04
35%
Takedown defense
86%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.65Δ 1.01 — meaningful gap-0.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jake ShieldsJake Ellenberger
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Shields(7 fights)Jake Ellenberger(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-53.553.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Jake Shields
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7
Jake Ellenberger
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights19