Lightweight
3 Rounds
Ignacio Bahamondes won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 8, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJalin Turner: Pressure fightervsIgnacio Bahamondes: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Ignacio Bahamondes wins(55.0%)
Actual result: Ignacio Bahamondes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ignacio Bahamondes has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jalin Turner (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jalin Turner
Red Corner
VS
Ignacio Bahamondes
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-142
(59%)
31
Age
28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
195.58 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jalin Turner
oldest →latest
L
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Mar 23L
vs Dan Hooker · Jul 23W
KOvs King Green · Dec 23L
KOvs Renato Moicano · Apr 24W
KOvs Edson Barboza · Dec 25Ignacio BahamondesL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ludovit Klein · Aug 23W
KOvs Christos Giagos · Apr 24W
KOvs Manuel Torres · Sep 24L
vs Rafael Fiziev · Jun 25L
vs Tofiq Musayev · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jalin TurnerMetricIgnacio Bahamondes
5.79
Strikes / min
5.99
4.54
Strikes absorbed / min
4.07
41%
Strike defense
55%
0.75
TDs / 15 min
0.00
75%
Takedown defense
70%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.25evenly matched on net striking+1.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jalin TurnerIgnacio Bahamondes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jalin Turner(10 fights)Ignacio Bahamondes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.415.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+154.0-154.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Jalin Turner
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights14
Ignacio Bahamondes
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10